Elijah Muradi WPT Lucky Hearts Poker เปิดที่ $ 605K

จดหมายถึงบรรณาธิการ: Paul Berbe


วันจันทร์ที่ 15 กุมภาพันธ์ 2564 เวลา 23:39 น. | ย้อนกลับ: Share News Updated: Bill Finley Report (Weekly Review) 11 กุมภาพันธ์ 2564 เวลา 23:41 น. 9 กุมภาพันธ์ เพื่อ จำกัด การเดิมพันบนคอมพิวเตอร์สำหรับผู้บุกรุก PR 5 และ 6 6 ในรุ่น TDN ฉันรู้สึกทึ่งกับผู้เล่น “พนัน” (CAW) ข้อความใด ๆ เกี่ยวกับการเดิมพันรูปแบบนี้การเดิมพันหุ่นยนต์คอมพิวเตอร์หรือบอท ประสบการณ์ของฉันกับไซต์และผู้จัดการที่ชาญฉลาดและมีการจัดการที่ดีจะย้อนกลับไป 20 ปีหรือมากกว่านั้น จากนั้นในขณะนี้ความคิดเห็นของฉันเกี่ยวกับการเสนอราคาคือการทำลายธุรกิจพายมูเมลในระยะยาว Bill Bots ชี้ให้เห็นว่าหลายล้านคนกำลังเข้าสู่สระว่ายน้ำในสนามแข่งและที่จับนี้ต้องการรอยเท้า แต่มันเป็นความจริงของชีวิตที่บอทตอบสนองอย่างเต็มที่ในการรวบรวมเงินจากผู้เล่นคนอื่นแม้ว่าพวกเขาจะมีเงินจากผู้เล่นคนอื่นแฟนประจำสแควร์หรือโง่ก็ตาม สูตรทางคณิตศาสตร์ที่บอทใช้คือเมื่อคุณเห็นว่าไม่สมดุลหรือมูลค่าในพูลที่สร้างโดยผู้เล่นคนอื่นนี่คือช่วงที่บอทกำลังทำงานและเดิมพันเพื่อจับค่าที่มองเห็นได้ ตามปกติแล้วเวลาที่มีประสิทธิภาพสูงสุดสำหรับการเดิมพันดังกล่าวจะช้าที่สุดเท่าที่จะเป็นไปได้ก่อนที่พูลจะปิดและนั่นคือเหตุผลที่โอกาสในการเดิมพันโดยตรงรายวันและการจ่ายเงินที่อาจเกิดขึ้นในรอบสุดท้ายของการแข่งขัน ไม่น่าเป็นไปได้ที่การดำเนินการในแต่ละวันของบอทจะขึ้นอยู่กับเงินของผู้เล่นคนอื่นอย่างสมบูรณ์ ไม่ว่าด้วยเหตุผลใดก็ตามที่ผู้เล่นเหล่านี้แข่งขันกันบูทก็จะลดลงตามสัดส่วนเช่นกัน ชีวิตของบอทคือเลือดของคนอื่น ๆ และการเติบโตเพียงอย่างเดียวในการเดิมพันบอทมาจากเงินนี้ ฉันได้ชี้ให้เห็นแล้วว่าบอทเป็นอันตรายต่อการเดิมพันแบบ pari-mutuel เมื่อบอทชนะการเดิมพันผู้เล่นทั่วไปหรือผู้เล่นทั่วไปจะมีเงินในกระเป๋าเล็กน้อยและเงินจำนวนเล็กน้อยสำหรับการสั่นสะเทือน เมื่อเรือชนะการหายใจตามปกตินั้นจะหายไปอีกครั้งก็ต่อเมื่อเทียบเรือกับเงิน “อื่น ๆ ” ในสระ เมื่อพวกเขาเข้าสู่กลุ่ม Pik 5/6 ขนาดใหญ่ผลกำไรหรือผลกำไรของพวกเขาอาจไปสู่การซื้อไลฟ์สไตล์หรือการลงทุนอื่น ๆ และทำให้หายไปเหมือนกับการเดิมพันแบบ pari-mutuel การเสนอราคาระยะสั้นเป็นสิ่งที่น่าสนใจสำหรับแทร็กการแข่งขัน แต่ในระยะยาวและ – วันนี้การแข่งขันโดยทั่วไปเป็นระยะยาว – สถานที่เดิมพันที่ไม่ใช่แทร็กสำหรับผู้ให้กู้รายอื่นอัตราแลกเปลี่ยนที่สูงหรือแทร็กโฮสต์จะโฮสต์พื้นที่ใกล้เคียงและเรือที่เป็นลบจำนวนมาก เสียงกรีดร้องหายไปและมันก็หายไป ฉันอ้างว่าสิ่งนี้มาจากข้อเท็จจริงที่ว่าการจัดการ pari-mutuel ประจำปีในสหรัฐอเมริกาไม่เห็นการเติบโตที่แท้จริงในช่วงหลายปีที่ผ่านมา Finley ยังกล่าวถึงราคาสำหรับทีมคอมพิวเตอร์หรือผู้เล่น ในความเป็นจริงมันเป็นอีกเรื่องหนึ่งที่ควรค่าแก่การวิเคราะห์ต่อไปว่าจะถูกนำไปใช้กับเจ้าหนี้รายอื่นทั้งหมดและความไม่ยุติธรรมโดยธรรมชาติของพวกเขา แล้วการแข่งขันโดยรวมไปจากไหนที่นี่? แน่นอนว่าการลงสระว่ายน้ำของเรานั้นง่ายกว่าที่เคย แต่ในอนาคตผู้ประกอบการแข่งขันจะต้องเผชิญกับความเป็นจริงนี้ การแข่งขันเพื่อสร้างแฟนใหม่และผู้ให้กู้นั้นเหมาะสมอย่างยิ่งสำหรับบอทที่มักจะมองหาเงินใหม่ในรูปแบบธุรกิจของพวกเขา Paul W. Berbu ซึ่งเป็นประธานาธิบดีที่เกษียณอายุแล้วไม่ได้ลงทะเบียนกับ Torobred Racing Defense Bureau หรือไม่? คลิกที่นี่เพื่อสมัครรับไฟล์ PDF หรือการแจ้งเตือนรายวัน เรื่องราวนี้ได้รับการโพสต์ใน Common News และได้รับการแท็กเป็น Bill Finley, Computer Assistant Betting, Editor’s Letter, New York Racing Association, การเดิมพันแบบ pari-mutuel, Paul Barbus

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Elijah Muradi WPT Lucky Hearts Poker เปิดที่ $ 605K

NYRA to Reinstitute Fair Hill & Oaklawn Ship & Win Bonuses


Saturday, February 13, 2021 at 1:00 pm |
Back to: Top News Updated: February 13, 2021 at 1:01 pm

The New York Racing Association (NYRA) announced Saturday that it will once again offer “Ship and Win” incentives for horses coming from Fair Hill Training Center or Oaklawn Park to race at Aqueduct or Belmont.
Owners of horses stabled at Fair Hill, in Elkton, Maryland who register an official start during the Aqueduct spring meet (Apr. 1 through Apr. 18), or during the Belmont spring/summer meet (Apr. 22 through July 11), will be credited with an $800 shipping stipend, excluding stakes races. First-time starters must have their three prior works at Fair Hill, and NYRA reserves the right to determine eligibility, with horses needing to demonstrate a pattern of Fair Hill works to qualify.
Horses who made their prior start at Oaklawn before racing at the same NYRA meets will race for a 30% purse bonus in their first qualifying start and will also be eligible for a $1500 stipend (excluding stakes horses). First-time starters shipping from Oaklawn do not qualify for the program.

For more information, contact the NYRA racing office at 718-659-4241.

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This story was posted in Top News and tagged Aqueduct, Belmont, Fair Hill Training Center, New York Racing Association, NYRA, Oaklawn Park, Ship and Win Bonus.

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Cuomo: New York Sports Venues Can Reopen Conditionally


Wednesday, February 10, 2021 at 5:34 pm |
Back to: Top News Updated: February 10, 2021 at 5:35 pm
Fans could soon return to Aqueduct | Chelsea Durand

New York Governor Andrew Cuomo announced that sports arenas and stadiums with a capacity of better than 10,000 can re-open with limited spectators. The first event open to spectators in the state will be the National Basketball Association contest between the Sacramento Kings and Brooklyn Nets at the Barclay Center Feb. 23.
The opening of venues will follow the Buffalo Bills pilot program, deemed an “unparalleled success” by Cuomo, following guidelines including Department of Health approval for venues and events, capacity limitations, testing requirements, mandatory face coverings, temperature checks and assigned, socially distanced seating. There will be a 10% capacity limit in arenas and stadiums.
Officials at the New York Racing Association welcomed the news and will explore their options over the next weeks and months.

“Sports and entertainment venues in New York are responsible for tens of thousands of jobs and billions of dollars in economic impact. NYRA applauds Governor Cuomo for taking action today to get New Yorkers back to work and fans back in seats,” said Patrick McKenna, Senior Director, Communications and Media Relations for NYRA.
“NYRA is reviewing the newly announced guidelines to determine how they apply to Aqueduct Racetrack, where the first floor is currently the site of a New York State COVID-19 vaccination center, and to Belmont Park and Saratoga Race Course.
“NYRA has been conducting live racing without spectators in attendance since June 3 and we are eager to welcome racing fans back to our venues at the appropriate time and with the approval of the New York State Gaming Commission.”

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This story was posted in Top News and tagged Andrew Cuomo, Aqueduct, attendance, Belmont, Coronavirus, New York Racing Association, Patrick McKenna, Saratoga, stadiums.

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NYRA Looks Out for Its Customer; Good for Them


The Week in Review by Bill Finley
It’s not often in this sport that John Q. Horseplayer gets a break, but that’s exactly what happened last week when it was revealed that NYRA was no longer accepting bets from the so-called computer-assisted wagering (CAW) players on its Empire Six wager. The Empire Six wager joined the Cross Country Pick 5 and the late Pick 5 as NYRA wagers that are no longer available to the CAW players.
The computer players use algorithms that predict the probability of a particular outcome. If their programs tell them that a horse has a 50-50 chance of winning and is 3-1 they will bet accordingly. They use the same methods for most pools and bet huge amounts of money. Because they receive rebates in the neighborhood of 10%, they don’t even have to show a profit on their bets, just as long as their rebates are bigger than their losses.

The number of bettors out there using these methods is minimal, no more than six or seven groups. But they bet so much money that they can severely tilt the pools and drive down prices by significant numbers. The Thoroughbred Idea Foundation estimates that CAW play accounts for as much as 35% of all monies wagered on U.S. racing. That would mean their annual handle is about $3.5 billion.
Not that they are doing anything wrong or breaking any rules. These are very smart and innovative people who are willing to risk huge sums of money and have designed computer programs that put them several steps ahead of the average player. A case can be made that they deserve every last nickel they have made betting on racing, not just in the U.S. but around the globe.
CAW players are, for obvious reasons, coveted by most American tracks. Tracks make money off of their percentage of the betting handle. Taking a micro view of how the business of racing works, why would any track turn away customers that might be betting tens of millions of dollars every year on their product?
If only it were that simple.
This is pari-mutuel wagering, gambling’s version of survival of the fittest. The successful bettors are taking advantage of the unsuccessful ones. It’s their money that they are winning, not the house’s money. With the CAW phenomenon, which appears to be growing all the time, betting on the horses has turned into a matter of the whales vs. minnows. The whales have been gobbling up the minnows and after a while all the minnows will be gone.
It’s already happening. The CAW players are pumping billions into the pools across the country, which is a fairly recent phenomenon, yet handle has been stagnant over recent years when it comes to real numbers and has declined sharply when adjusting for inflation. That can only mean that a lot of those who might bet $20 on a race, $200 on a card and play the races once or twice a week have been driven out of the game. Horseplayers only have so much money to spend on the sport and once you tap them out they are going to move on.
The regular players are getting particularly hurt in the jackpot wagers. The pools build up on their losing dollars and are too often scooped up by the CAW players, sometimes on a mandatory payout date.
NYRA took a look at this and, obviously, had some concerns.
“We are trying to level the playing field with these particular multi-race wagers so it’s not tilted towards those folks with distinct advantages, meaning complicated algorithmic trading tools and an extremely high volume,” NYRA spokesman Pat McKenna told Steve Byk on his “At the Races” radio show.
McKenna noted that NYRA can operate differently from other tracks because it is a not-for-profit and doesn’t always have to adhere to the bottom line. It would be far more difficult for a Churchill Downs track or a Stronach Group track to turn away the CAW money. But even NYRA hasn’t gone so far as to ban the CAW players all together. They are still welcome in all other pools and they are the reason why so many horses go into the gate at 4-1 and drop to 8-5 during the running of the race, which is a terrible look for the sport. CAW wagers go directly into the pools and can be played at the very last second.
The status quo is not sustainable. Every day that this persists, another casual horseplayer gives up on the game. Racing cannot do without these everyday players. After a while, you’re going to have nothing left but whales vs. whales.
But good luck trying to get a for-profit track to turn away bettors willing to wager millions on their product. Probably the best anyone can hope for would be for NYRA to extend the exclusion into other pools and for other non-profit tracks like Del Mar and Keeneland to also experiment by barring CAW players from some pools.
This is a serious problem for the sport and it’s not going away. At least NYRA is trying to make a bad situation better.
Dream Shake Impresses
There were expectations that a star would emerge from Sunday’s fifth race at Santa Anita, a maiden special weight going 6 1/2 furlongs. It happened, but just not with the horse everyone was expecting to win.
Sent off at 20-1, ‘TDN Rising Star’ Dream Shake (Twirling Candy) turned in what might have been the most impressive 3-year-old debut so far this year. Trained by Peter Eurton and ridden by Joel Rosario, he kicked into high gear in the stretch and won going away, by 4 3/4 lengths.
Eurton admitted that he never envisioned such a performance.
“He went way beyond my expectations,” he said. “I had never really challenged him whatsoever. He was an unknown. For him to have closed and ran fourth with a nice finish and a nice gallop-out would have been satisfying, especially against the field of horse we were facing. There were a lot of horses in there that people thought highly of.”
All indications are that the horse will be even better when stretching out.
“He acts like, to me, a two-turn horse,” Eurton said. “He’s not ultra quick but neither is he slow. Once he gets going, he covers quite a bit of ground. Going two turns is, hopefully, in the cards for his next race.”
Eurton said he has not picked out the next start for Dream Shake but said a stakes race is a possibility.
The same race included a rare bad showing from the Bob Baffert barn. He entered two highly regarded first time starters in Bezos (Empire Maker), the 3-5 favorite, and Tivoli Twirl (Twirling Candy) only to have them both get beaten by 15-plus lengths. That was bad news for the people who foolishly bet on Bezos in the Derby Future wager before he had even had a start, sending him off at 26-1. The Baffert horses deserve a second shot, but it seems highly unlikely now that either one will make the GI Kentucky Derby.
The Katie Davis Saga
Earlier this week, we wrote about Katie Davis’s unhappiness over the New York Gaming Commission’s coupled entries rule.
The real point of the story is that she is being penalized by what is quite possibly the silliest, most out-of-touch rule on the books over at the Gaming Commission. There’s no valid reason why her mounts must run as an entry with husband Trevor McCarthy’s mounts when the two are in the same race. Protecting the betting public is one thing, but it’s completely unnecessary in this situation.
This is hurting Davis. It is hurting McCarthy. And it’s cutting into NYRA’s handle. It’s well past the point where the Gaming Commission should have revisited the rule and taken it off the books.

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Former NYRA Announcer Marshall Cassidy Passes Away at 75


Marshall Cassidy, the announcer at the New York tracks from 1979 through 1990, passed away Sunday at his home in Saratoga Springs, NY. He was 75.
According to friends of Cassidy, he died in his sleep. The cause of death was not immediately known.
Cassidy began his announcing career as the backup caller to Dave Johnson and then Chic Anderson. After Anderson passed away in 1979, Cassidy was promoted to the job of head announcer. In 1990, after the Saratoga meet concluded, he was replaced by Tom Durkin.

Over his years at NYRA, his calls could also be heard on WCBS radio, ABC, NBC, CBS and ESPN.
“He was my assistant for about five years,” Johnson said. “It was a real pressure cooker job because we were also doing the TV show on WOR at the time. In all that time, there was never a cross word between us. He was such a pro and such a good man.”
After leaving the announcers job, Cassidy worked on and off for NYRA as a racing official during the Saratoga meets. On Sept. 1, 2008, he ventured back into the booth and called a race at Saratoga.
Cassidy was known for his accuracy as a caller and for how he enunciated the names of certain horses. In a staccato fashion, there was often a brief pause between syllables and Cassidy liked to draw out the names. The name of the top filly Lucky Lucky Lucky became “Luck-Keeey, Luck-Keeey, Luck-Keeey.”
Cassidy’s calls were usually straightforward, but when it came to Easy Goer, he showed some provincial pride. He was not “Easy Goer” but “New York’s Easy Goer.” He wound down his call of the 1989 GI Belmont S., with the following words: “It’s New York’s Easy Goer in front.”
“I grew up listening to Marshall’s calls and was always a big fan,” said Larry Collmus, who took the NYRA announcing job after Durkin left. “He had a classic and classy delivery that was so pleasant to the ear. When I became the NYRA announcer, Marshall and I developed a friendship that I’m so glad we had. He would visit me in the booth at Saratoga and would share so many great stories. Every summer Marshall and I would have dinner with Sonny Taylor [longtime NYRA racing official] and hearing their tales of the past was something special. I will miss Marshall and am so grateful to have had him as both an idol and a friend.”
“This is very sad news,” said Fair Grounds announcer John Dooley, who was an up-and-coming backup announcer at NYRA in the late eighties. “When I worked for the New York Racing Association, he really took me under his wing when I was starting off as a race caller. He was such a kind man, a great person. He took the time to help me, a wannabee announcer. It was because of him that I was eventually able to call races in New York. I owe him a real debt of gratitude.”
Cassidy came from one of the most prominent families in New York racing. His grandfather, Marshall Whiting Cassidy, worked as a head starter, a steward and as the executive secretary of The Jockey Club. He is credited with inventing the modern starting gate. Cassidy’s great-grandfather, Mars Cassidy, was also a longtime starter at the NYRA tracks, as was Cassidy’s great uncle, George Cassidy.
“I’m immediately stereotyped as a bright boy with a silver spoon in his mouth,” Cassidy said in 1974. “I have to overcome this image by proving myself with hard work. As many people loved my grandfather as many hated him. I don’t want people to judge me off my grandfather, but for myself.”

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NYRA Excludes Computer Players from Pick Six Pool


By Bill Finley NYRA is no longer accepting wagers from customers using computer assisted wagering (CAW) programs on its Empire Six wager. The new policy took effect Feb. 4.
The Empire Six joins NYRA’s Late Pick 5 and the Cross Country Pick 5 as pools that are now closed to a group of bettors who use computer algorithms to place their wagers and are known for betting huge amounts, particularly when there is a large carryover in a pool or a mandatory payout day.
This was the second step in a process that began Jan. 1 when NYRA eliminated the jackpot portion of the Pick Six wager. No matter how many winning tickets are sold on the bet, which costs 20 cents, the entire pool is now paid out every racing day.

With its new policies, NYRA is attempting to deal with what is becoming a growing problem for the sport in general. It is hard for tracks to turn down the business from CAW players because of the substantial contributions they make to handle.  However, the computer players are generally so successful that their winning wagers cut substantially into payoffs, penalizing players who don’t enjoy the same advantages. Over time, catering to CAW players runs the risk of emptying the pockets of a track’s regular players.
The computer players have also been known to scoop up entire pools of wagers like jackpot Pick Sixes on the mandatory payout day. On Nov. 30, the Empire Six at Aqueduct paid $482,817. There was only one winning ticket on the bet and it was sold by the Elite Turf Club, which caters to large volume, computer players.
“What we have seen with the Empire Six is that the jackpot pool is built and supported largely by the everyday horseplayers,” NYRA spokesperson Pat McKenna said. “When it comes to mandatory payout days, there tends to be an unequal playing field.”
McKenna said that the move to keep the large players out of the Empire Six came after NYRA began analyzing its wagering menu and what impact the CAW players were having on ordinary customers.
He also acknowledged that NYRA can more easily turn away handle from the computer bettors than most tracks because it is a non-profit. He said it was “likely” that handle would decline because of the steps NYRA has taken.
“The fact that NYRA is organized as a not-for-profit with the clear goal of supporting thoroughbred racing in New York state puts us in an advantageous position in that this is not strictly about the bottom line,” McKenna said. “It is about supporting our everyday horseplayers who are consistently wagering day in and day out.”
On Thursday, $53,362 was bet on the Empire Six, a bit more than what was bet the prior Thursday when $51,598 was wagered.
NYRA still accepts wagers from CAW players in all pools excepting the Empire Six, the late Pick 5 and the Cross Country Pick 5. Like most tracks, it is not unusual to see a horse at Aqueduct go into the gate at one price and then have the odds on it drop precipitously during a race. In such cases, it is normally the result of CAW players making large, last-second bets on a horse.

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This story was posted in Shared News and tagged CAW, Computer Assisted Wagering, Empire Six, New York Racing Association, Pat McKenna, Pick Six, wagering.

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